Tangentially, this would make an interesting basis for a long piece by you. What is behind the falling numbers in US prisons and jails: some or all of lower criminality, less enforcement, or looser sentencing? I’m not American so really have no insight.
As measured by homicide rates, black behavior got worse suddenly in the late 1980s and then after the Crack Wars, started getting better in the second half of the 1990s. So it would make sense to start letting out of prison after 20 years or so guys who committed serious crimes in the Crack Years (e.g., driver in a drive-by shooting) but not Murder One. Whether middle age had reformed them is an interesting topic.
i think there's a small typo in your taki article:
"Let’s compare the era of the Floyd Effect—June 2020 to December 2023—to the same 43 months a decade earlier—June 2010 to December 2023—which was before either the Ferguson or Floyd Effect."
i think that should be 'june 2010 to december 2013, not 2023.
It seems obvious that BLM inspired policies have wreaked havoc on the communities they were intended to benefit.
It’s especially disappointing to me that neither of our candidates for president have the analytical or verbal skills to grasp this reality and discuss it like adults.
"It’s especially disappointing to me that neither of our candidates for president have the analytical or verbal skills to grasp this reality and discuss it like adults."
Well, in their defense, neither of them can achieve this on ANY issue.
Incoherent babbling punctuated by blasting out certain words or terms to make their followers angry and fearful is their lingua franca.
Young whites in the sticks have definitely not lost interest in trucks, nor in driving them in a mostly aggressive manner. Not sure who is driving the muscle cars that have come back in fashion, though I have tried to see because these often vex me with their high-speed games on the freeway and the interstate.* (A lot of time the windows are tinted.) I live in an unusually car-proud city. The big city park hosts a lowrider gathering a couple weekends a month. Stereo systems are still much in fashion. I believe it is a different crowd that travels up and down the interstate at weekend evenings to shut down intersections and do donuts and tricks and film said for youtube. I have been made aware that there is also a genre, sometimes filmed, for redlight runners (I think this may confuse - these are not people running a light that has just turned red, but rather a game involving the deliberate blowing through a signalized intersection at high speed irrespective of what the light is; I have experienced this from both directions). There are numerous carwashes in competition with one another across busy streets. Before moving here I never bothered much about my 14 yo economy car, beyond occasionally combining washing the car with watering the yard - but now cheapskate me occasionally goes through the carwash and in between times am a devotee of the free vacuums that will suck your face off. Recently I was there vacuuming as a lowrider circled the carwash blasting "Car Wash" for our amusement (? - we are at the car wash and he is playing "Car Wash"!) Lovingly-cared-for BMWs and Mercedes and Teslas do seem popular with black people. Overall I'm not sure I believe the phenomenon "young people have lost interest in cars". I understand the automakers worry about that. I understand that is true in NYC.
I think the prestige press maybe needs to spend some time away from either coast.
*Something that amuses me is - I guess just reflexively - a lot of these guys weaving around, going 20 mph over the traffic flow, just missing sideswiping people, and passing on the wrong side - yet use their turn signal as they make these moves. I guess your true sociopath does not.
Mainstream car models have become increasingly powerful in this century, and there are many more very fast cars at attainable price levels. They're safer in a crash but easier to get out of control with a heavy right foot.
It's surprising insurance premiums haven't risen even more than they have, but many of the deaths are probably single vehicle accidents, so the driver isn't sued.
Back around 2010 or so, it was brought up during a discussion about the local work force that about half of drivers in the biggest regional city were driving illegally. No license, expired plated, no insurance, etc.
Steve, I want to thank you for masticating the garbage that the NYT spews forth. I refuse to pay for it, much less than look for it on Archive. Org. Then again, you should really try the Guardian for some laughs. Any article they post is like a car wreck. One must slow down to give it side-eye: definitely worth it.
“First, these are raw deaths and the black population has grown somewhat faster than the white population. “
Steve - would it be possible to adjust for driving-age population? Perhaps unincarcerated population of each race aged 20-75.
Table 3 below shows that the black prison population fell nearly 30% 2012-22, almost half as fast again as other races.
https://bjs.ojp.gov/document/p22st.pdf
Tangentially, this would make an interesting basis for a long piece by you. What is behind the falling numbers in US prisons and jails: some or all of lower criminality, less enforcement, or looser sentencing? I’m not American so really have no insight.
As measured by homicide rates, black behavior got worse suddenly in the late 1980s and then after the Crack Wars, started getting better in the second half of the 1990s. So it would make sense to start letting out of prison after 20 years or so guys who committed serious crimes in the Crack Years (e.g., driver in a drive-by shooting) but not Murder One. Whether middle age had reformed them is an interesting topic.
i think there's a small typo in your taki article:
"Let’s compare the era of the Floyd Effect—June 2020 to December 2023—to the same 43 months a decade earlier—June 2010 to December 2023—which was before either the Ferguson or Floyd Effect."
i think that should be 'june 2010 to december 2013, not 2023.
sorry if i'm being annoying!
Thanks. I will fix.
It seems obvious that BLM inspired policies have wreaked havoc on the communities they were intended to benefit.
It’s especially disappointing to me that neither of our candidates for president have the analytical or verbal skills to grasp this reality and discuss it like adults.
"It’s especially disappointing to me that neither of our candidates for president have the analytical or verbal skills to grasp this reality and discuss it like adults."
Well, in their defense, neither of them can achieve this on ANY issue.
Incoherent babbling punctuated by blasting out certain words or terms to make their followers angry and fearful is their lingua franca.
Young whites in the sticks have definitely not lost interest in trucks, nor in driving them in a mostly aggressive manner. Not sure who is driving the muscle cars that have come back in fashion, though I have tried to see because these often vex me with their high-speed games on the freeway and the interstate.* (A lot of time the windows are tinted.) I live in an unusually car-proud city. The big city park hosts a lowrider gathering a couple weekends a month. Stereo systems are still much in fashion. I believe it is a different crowd that travels up and down the interstate at weekend evenings to shut down intersections and do donuts and tricks and film said for youtube. I have been made aware that there is also a genre, sometimes filmed, for redlight runners (I think this may confuse - these are not people running a light that has just turned red, but rather a game involving the deliberate blowing through a signalized intersection at high speed irrespective of what the light is; I have experienced this from both directions). There are numerous carwashes in competition with one another across busy streets. Before moving here I never bothered much about my 14 yo economy car, beyond occasionally combining washing the car with watering the yard - but now cheapskate me occasionally goes through the carwash and in between times am a devotee of the free vacuums that will suck your face off. Recently I was there vacuuming as a lowrider circled the carwash blasting "Car Wash" for our amusement (? - we are at the car wash and he is playing "Car Wash"!) Lovingly-cared-for BMWs and Mercedes and Teslas do seem popular with black people. Overall I'm not sure I believe the phenomenon "young people have lost interest in cars". I understand the automakers worry about that. I understand that is true in NYC.
I think the prestige press maybe needs to spend some time away from either coast.
*Something that amuses me is - I guess just reflexively - a lot of these guys weaving around, going 20 mph over the traffic flow, just missing sideswiping people, and passing on the wrong side - yet use their turn signal as they make these moves. I guess your true sociopath does not.
Mainstream car models have become increasingly powerful in this century, and there are many more very fast cars at attainable price levels. They're safer in a crash but easier to get out of control with a heavy right foot.
It's surprising insurance premiums haven't risen even more than they have, but many of the deaths are probably single vehicle accidents, so the driver isn't sued.
Back around 2010 or so, it was brought up during a discussion about the local work force that about half of drivers in the biggest regional city were driving illegally. No license, expired plated, no insurance, etc.
Steve, I want to thank you for masticating the garbage that the NYT spews forth. I refuse to pay for it, much less than look for it on Archive. Org. Then again, you should really try the Guardian for some laughs. Any article they post is like a car wreck. One must slow down to give it side-eye: definitely worth it.