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I wonder if the author would be shocked to learn that the overwhelming majority of medical practice is based on far weaker statistical associations. Among the strongest such associations is breast cancer and female sex. Men manage to get about 1% of all breast cancers. Steve's stat about 100 m dash finalists is about as strong.

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The other argument is one does not need many resources to identify the best sprinters compared to who will be the best swimmers, or distance runners, etc.

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you mean in that you can't coach speed? I agree, running fast is one of the basic very singlular abilities and you should be able to identify the fastest runners by the end of adolescence. Only wildcard is...response to anabolic steroids!

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