Thinking only of mundane explanations. At least for Indians, their smaller population tends to show changes more acutely, which might account for a small portion of the visible change. Perhaps reporting methods, too, have changed, especially for a population that might not have been in the system. Changing diagnosis methods, for instance.
That said, mundane changes don't seem to account for the large signals.
I have no doubt that OD gets conflated with suicide. Also important to note that, although the Great Awokening is footnote, it is important to consider the serious potential for life-ruination is has for whites. The inability to land a job despite high credentials is not only demoralizing, but prevents the creation of life, home-owners, and family planning; all requisite for a positive lifestyle.
The "Great Awokening" phenomenon people like to peg as emerging in the early 2010s, rolling hard by the mid-2010s, climaxing in 2020, and still hanging around in the mid-2020s. But the rise in the white suicide-rate stats here (part of Sailer's "White Death") predates that timeline.
An expanded version of the Great Awokening may be called for, or some new term, White Demoralization. It's something that would require a cross-disciplinary approach to really pin down, I think.
The White under-age-45 suicide rate in the 2000s and 2010s rose by over 50% (taking these numbers at face value), slowly and steadily; plateaued starting about 2017, but did not decline to previous levels.
Taking the year-2000 rate as a baseline, there have been near 100,000 excess young White suicides in the USA over the past twenty years, affecting the b.1970s, b.1980s, b.1990s age-cohorts.
Calculating this to scalable terms: The chance of a median White-American killing himself before reaching age 45 apparently rises from the year-2000 rate of 0.5% to the late-2010s rate of near 0.8%. Out of a high-school graduating class of 400 that's a rise from 2 suicides (early 2000s rate) to 3 suicides (late 2010s rate).
So, who is responsible for that extra prime-age death per 400 young Whites? We want to know.
It's all the birth control hormones in the water supply lowering T levels. And more clever serial killers who've watched too many detective shows, and police incentives to push murder numbers down. Few deaths from AIDS, so more gays have to self-destruct properly. More childless, churchless men with little faith or interest in the future. Do they separate the married men's numbers?
I think it's cultural. You have to have a compelling reason to commit suicide. In Japan it's usually shame. In China it's often a form of protest against bad treatment (Buddhist thing). In Rome it was about personal honor.
It used to be despair or hopelessness here, but I think a lot of it today is motivated by a kind of prideful, defiant spite. The two youth suicides that have affected me personally over the last decade were motivated by anger at family, and anecdotally it seems to be the most common sort of youth suicide today. Of course in those cases people don't talk about it much.
If you think about the culture here, self-harm as self-assertion has become much more common than it used to be. From tattooing and piercing starting in the 90s to genital mutilation today, you've got to admit it's a lot more prevalent than it used to be. Suicide is just one more step down the same path.
Basically it's a statement along the lines of "I belong to myself and nobody else, and if push comes to shove I will annihilate my physical self rather than compromise." Very much a post-Christian attitude.
Since you mention drug use and especially heroin/Oxy/fentanyl, I'll add this observation. I have a great compilation of music from "Blaxploitation" movie soundtracks. Listening to all these tracks together, it really hit me that in the early '70's, *heroin* was the scourge of the ghetto, not cocaine or crack.
Also notable is that the dealers and junkies were seen as victims of "the Man" -- the international cartels who supplied and controlled the market. There was no "Scarface" type dream of clawing your way to the top, or any Gangsta bravado about violence. Why is it the cocaine (and crack) markets made inner-city kids "franchisees" rather than just customers? (I am sure this has been covered at length by books and research.)
Commenter Handle suggests that black criminals switching in the 1980s from being burglars and robbers to being drug dealers benefitted white people because muggings and break-ins declined, but black-on-black violence went up.
Thinking only of mundane explanations. At least for Indians, their smaller population tends to show changes more acutely, which might account for a small portion of the visible change. Perhaps reporting methods, too, have changed, especially for a population that might not have been in the system. Changing diagnosis methods, for instance.
That said, mundane changes don't seem to account for the large signals.
I have no doubt that OD gets conflated with suicide. Also important to note that, although the Great Awokening is footnote, it is important to consider the serious potential for life-ruination is has for whites. The inability to land a job despite high credentials is not only demoralizing, but prevents the creation of life, home-owners, and family planning; all requisite for a positive lifestyle.
The "Great Awokening" phenomenon people like to peg as emerging in the early 2010s, rolling hard by the mid-2010s, climaxing in 2020, and still hanging around in the mid-2020s. But the rise in the white suicide-rate stats here (part of Sailer's "White Death") predates that timeline.
An expanded version of the Great Awokening may be called for, or some new term, White Demoralization. It's something that would require a cross-disciplinary approach to really pin down, I think.
The White under-age-45 suicide rate in the 2000s and 2010s rose by over 50% (taking these numbers at face value), slowly and steadily; plateaued starting about 2017, but did not decline to previous levels.
Taking the year-2000 rate as a baseline, there have been near 100,000 excess young White suicides in the USA over the past twenty years, affecting the b.1970s, b.1980s, b.1990s age-cohorts.
Calculating this to scalable terms: The chance of a median White-American killing himself before reaching age 45 apparently rises from the year-2000 rate of 0.5% to the late-2010s rate of near 0.8%. Out of a high-school graduating class of 400 that's a rise from 2 suicides (early 2000s rate) to 3 suicides (late 2010s rate).
So, who is responsible for that extra prime-age death per 400 young Whites? We want to know.
It's all the birth control hormones in the water supply lowering T levels. And more clever serial killers who've watched too many detective shows, and police incentives to push murder numbers down. Few deaths from AIDS, so more gays have to self-destruct properly. More childless, churchless men with little faith or interest in the future. Do they separate the married men's numbers?
I think it's cultural. You have to have a compelling reason to commit suicide. In Japan it's usually shame. In China it's often a form of protest against bad treatment (Buddhist thing). In Rome it was about personal honor.
It used to be despair or hopelessness here, but I think a lot of it today is motivated by a kind of prideful, defiant spite. The two youth suicides that have affected me personally over the last decade were motivated by anger at family, and anecdotally it seems to be the most common sort of youth suicide today. Of course in those cases people don't talk about it much.
If you think about the culture here, self-harm as self-assertion has become much more common than it used to be. From tattooing and piercing starting in the 90s to genital mutilation today, you've got to admit it's a lot more prevalent than it used to be. Suicide is just one more step down the same path.
Basically it's a statement along the lines of "I belong to myself and nobody else, and if push comes to shove I will annihilate my physical self rather than compromise." Very much a post-Christian attitude.
Since you mention drug use and especially heroin/Oxy/fentanyl, I'll add this observation. I have a great compilation of music from "Blaxploitation" movie soundtracks. Listening to all these tracks together, it really hit me that in the early '70's, *heroin* was the scourge of the ghetto, not cocaine or crack.
Also notable is that the dealers and junkies were seen as victims of "the Man" -- the international cartels who supplied and controlled the market. There was no "Scarface" type dream of clawing your way to the top, or any Gangsta bravado about violence. Why is it the cocaine (and crack) markets made inner-city kids "franchisees" rather than just customers? (I am sure this has been covered at length by books and research.)
Commenter Handle suggests that black criminals switching in the 1980s from being burglars and robbers to being drug dealers benefitted white people because muggings and break-ins declined, but black-on-black violence went up.
An interesting notion ...