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E. H. Hail's avatar

“One lesson I would be quick to draw from [the 2024 election]: Americans are not interested in seeing biological men punch women in the face at the Olympics… If that sounds like ‘Transphobia’ to you, you are the problem.” — Sam Harris

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E. H. Hail's avatar

How to explain how/why the politicized Transgenderist Movement occurred and gained so much apparent success?

We need more time, I think, to understand it. Along with the meaning of many of the bad trends that seemingly emerged in the 2010s, or that at least "came to a head" in that decade.

The obvious explanation is that the Gay Marriage movement, of ca. 2003-2015 (?), was felt to be winding down by mid-2013, and no longer served the kind of useful purpose it had over years of then-recent memory. Something new was needed to carry forward the energy. Then, once an elite agenda-setting element embraced it, political Transgenderism became part of ideological-coalitional politics. (There were no "adults in the room" to say "stop this nonsense right now.")

But something feels missing in whatever single explanation I hear or can imagine.

The theory has been proposed, by Mr. Sailer indirectly at least, that Barack Obama may be responsible for the Transgenderism movement. Indirectly. By whipping up something called "identity politics" in his 2012 re-election campaign.

Obama's campaign was targeted at the Eternal Villain, the White-Christian Heterosexual Male and that Eternal Villain's water-carriers and dupes. The theory, as I interpret it, continues as follows: The anti-White Male energies spilled over and, as a "social contagion" mutated into a free-floating anti-heterosexualism. This ended up becoming a serious force (as seen by the sharp drops in girls being socialized into quasi-adult consciousness in the 2000s and 2010s identifying as full-heterosexual).

The whole thing was a little bit of a dilemma, given that a huge majority of people -- even agenda-setting elites -- are full-heterosexual "cisgenders." But mid-2010s Transgenderism adapted itself successfully, cycling through the culture over the coming 5-10 years.

The whole thing finally met "steel" sometime in the early 2020s, of course symbolically with the Trump-2024 win. Kamala, the worst presidential candidate in U.S. history an "empty vessel extraordinaire," had the bad luck of jumping on the Transgenderist Train in 2019, near its peak.

The above is a hypothesis for how a politicized Transgenderism -- implausibly, laughably -- became a plank of "the Left" by the end of the 2010s, starting in or by late 2013. Maybe nobody jumping on the early bandwagon in 2013-2015 could foresee where it would go, but the whole thing followed its own logic within our system.

Anyway, the "Obama-2012 reelection strategy" hypothesis doesn't feel like it has the explanatory power to get over the finish-line. Effect, not cause?

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